Two principal hypotheses have been advanced to explain crossover phenomena. In the United States, a black-white mortality crossover has been repeatedly found to exist at around age 85 for both men and women ( Arias 2006 Johnson 2000 Kestenbaum 1992 Lynch et al. A mortality crossover occurs when the higher age-specific mortality risk of one subpopulation (e.g., non-Hispanic black, henceforth referred to as “black”) converges with and then becomes lower than the age-specific mortality risk of another subpopulation (e.g., non-Hispanic white, henceforth referred to as “white”). non-Hispanic black and non-Hispanic white populations. Such findings are central to an ongoing debate as to the existence of a “crossover” in the mortality risk of the U.S. Sparse data in older-old (85+) age groups frequently preclude reliable estimates of mortality risk, and surprisingly low estimates are often found for subpopulations with comparatively high mortality risk during early and middle life. older adult population has proved difficult for some time. adult populations experienced disparate cohort patterns of mortality risk and that these different experiences are driving the convergence and crossover of mortality risk at older ages.Īnalyzing mortality risk of the U.S. The findings support the contention that the non-Hispanic black and non-Hispanic white U.S. Further, results show that nearly all the recent temporal change in U.S. adult mortality risk do not cross at any age. adult mortality, the estimated age effects of non-Hispanic black and non-Hispanic white U.S. That is, when controlling for variations in cohort and period patterns of U.S. I employ hierarchical age-period-cohort methods on the National Health Interview Survey-Linked Mortality Files between 19 to show that the black-white mortality crossover can be uncrossed by factoring out period and cohort effects of mortality risk. adult all-cause mortality, emphasizing how cohort effects condition age-specific estimates of mortality risk. In this article, I examine the black-white crossover in U.S.
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